Fort Valley State earned their first SIAC Tournament championship yesterday and the inaugural SIAC birth to the National Tournament. The rest of the eight-team field has yet to be officially decided. After today, however, we will know all six automatic qualifiers. We are so close to selection Sunday that I can almost taste it.
Bracketology
As I mentioned yesterday, the interesting seeds for the National Tournament are #4, #5, and #6. With UC Irvine defeating Hawaii, I think the at-large bids are locked up. The runner-up from both the MPSF and the Big West will get the at-large bids to the National Tournament. In fact, I think the only seeds that aren’t locked in are #5 and #6. With that in mind, here is a very likely bracket.
Possible Scenarios
The #7 seed will be from the Conference Carolinas. Right now VBelo has Belmont Abbey as the favorite, but North Greenville would also be slotted in at #7 if they win.
So let’s get to the four possibilities with the EIVA and MIVA.
Favorites win = Penn State #5 & Ohio State #6
MIVA Upset = Penn State #5 & Lindenwood #6
EIVA Upset = Ohio State #5 & George Mason #6
Double Upset = George Mason #5 & Lindenwood #6
The double upset would be the most interesting because I could see this going either way. I do think that George Mason has the slightest edge though. Right now, the Lions have a slight edge in KPI and VBelo but are just behind in RPI. The Patriots, on the other hand, have a stronger record and their win over UC Irvine may play a major role. This would be incredibly interesting to see what the committee ultimately decides.
Match Recaps
SIAC Championship
🏆#1 Fort Valley State (74%) def. #3 Central State (26%)
3-0 (25-21, 25-17, 25-15)
Big West Semifinals
#1 Long Beach (92%) def. #5 CSU Northridge (8%)
3-1 (25-23, 22-25, 25-20, 25-22)
#2 UC Irvine (31%) def. #3 Hawai'i (69%)
3-0 (26-24, 36-34, 25-15)
ConfCarolinas Semifinals
#1 Belmont Abbey (66%) def. #4 Mount Olive (34%)
3-0 (25-19, 25-15, 25-23)
#2 North Greenville (80%) def. #6 King (20%)
3-1 (22-25, 25-15, 25-16, 27-25)
Match Projections
Big West Championship
#1 Long Beach (67%) vs #2 UC Irvine (33%)
ConfCarolinas Championship
#1 Belmont Abbey (64%) vs #2 North Greenville (36%)
EIVA Championship
#2 George Mason (16%) vs #1 Penn State (84%)
MIVA Championship
#4 Lindenwood (29%) vs #3 Ohio State (71%)
MPSF Championship
#2 Grand Canyon (26%) vs #1 UCLA (74%)
NEC Championship
#2 Daemen (27%) vs #1 Saint Francis (73%)
ECC Semifinals
#4 American International (14%) vs #1 St. Thomas Aquinas (86%)
#2 Roberts Wesleyan (42%) vs #3 Dominican (58%)